**The $1 Trillion Convenience Squeeze**
23h ago · 2 sources · trend
Convenience retail is getting bigger. And smaller at the same time.
IGD forecasts global convenience sales climbing from about $900 billion in 2025 to more than $1 trillion by 2030. Sounds like a victory lap. Not quite. The channel is projected to grow at 3.5% annually, trailing the total grocery sector at 4%. As a result, convenience share of global grocery spending slips from 10.7% to 10.4%.
Even North America, the largest convenience market, is expected to see share fall from 16.9% to 15.1% by 2030 as discounters and rapid delivery services turn up the heat.
So what are operators doing? They are going straight at restaurants. In 2026, stores are pushing foodservice beyond the roller grill, using commissary models and high-speed ovens to pump out fresh sandwiches and salads. Regional chains are adding drive-thrus, barista-style coffee, dirty sodas, global flavors, and high-protein items to steal trips from QSRs. Groups like CORE Foodservice are helping chains with 20-100 units compete through value-driven, low-prep menu innovation.
Why it matters: growth alone will not save convenience. If your channel is growing slower than grocery, you are losing relevance. The real fight is for prepared food occasions, not just grab-and-go snacks.
Quick take: the future c-store looks less like a pit stop and more like a compact restaurant with a beverage problem. Brands that win will treat convenience as a foodservice platform, not just another shelf.
Key facts
- IGD forecasts global convenience sales will rise from around $900 billion in 2025 to more than $1 trillion by 2030, but the channel will lose share within the total grocery sector.
- IGD projects convenience retail will grow at a 3.5% compound annual growth rate through 2030, compared with 4% growth for the total grocery sector.
- Convenience retail’s share of global grocery spending is projected to decline from 10.7% in 2025 to 10.4% by 2030.
- North America is the largest convenience retail market, but IGD expects its market share to fall from 16.9% in 2025 to 15.1% by 2030 due to competition from discounters and rapid delivery services.
- Convenience stores in 2026 are expanding foodservice offerings beyond traditional roller grill items, using commissary models and high-speed ovens to deliver fresh sandwiches and salads.
- CORE Foodservice works with regional convenience chains ranging from 20 to 100 units to help them compete with national restaurant chains through value-driven, low-prep menu innovation.
- Regional convenience chains are adding drive-thrus, barista-style coffee service, dirty sodas, global flavors, and high-protein items to increase traffic and compete with QSRs.
- $900 billion
- $1 trillion
- 3.5%
- 4%
- 10.7%
- 10.4%
- 16.9%
- 15.1%
Coverage
- Convenience market set to top $1tn turnover, but grocery share will decline
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